Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 14.458235 16.801627 19.348183 22.313880 25.665258 29.327409 33.624090
2025-09-07 10.702069 13.957869 17.848460 22.804301 28.909529 36.142610 45.314071
2025-09-14 8.501142 12.152472 16.852558 23.263910 31.687351 42.272650 56.459954
2025-09-21 6.739458 10.441727 15.524543 22.873258 33.060252 46.494491 65.323308
2025-09-28 5.396234 9.001268 14.248278 22.237926 33.846472 49.806645 73.044482
2025-10-05 4.939668 8.752345 14.570108 23.802561 37.721947 57.488572 87.123832
2025-10-12 4.495051 8.430083 14.705085 25.049365 41.178614 64.760925 101.053757
2025-10-19 3.937445 7.819555 14.288824 25.361525 43.203015 70.034471 112.376619
2025-10-26 3.446103 7.235464 13.823730 25.510573 44.933247 74.921155 123.356759
2025-11-02 2.958058 6.571123 13.126198 25.174366 45.815568 78.512058 132.522549
2025-11-09 2.522068 5.928354 12.375216 24.644715 46.295391 81.448349 140.778713
2025-11-16 2.136337 5.316169 11.594157 23.960812 46.422844 83.777517 148.144033
2025-11-23 1.735492 4.619293 10.600994 22.861888 45.879556 85.211370 154.583075
2025-11-30 1.548353 4.365587 10.458859 23.371184 48.284403 91.815439 170.068398
2025-12-07 1.382096 4.125830 10.308918 23.842117 50.650193 98.500905 186.087478
2025-12-14 1.172280 3.730329 9.763148 23.443309 51.328059 102.255584 197.294228
2025-12-21 0.979057 3.329605 9.138626 22.794308 51.441941 104.976103 206.816436
2025-12-28 0.949413 3.372275 9.544336 24.392623 56.118115 116.269792 232.090324
2026-01-04 0.901297 3.351258 9.793117 25.666047 60.226684 126.734463 256.382730
2026-01-11 0.808091 3.172943 9.627809 25.984843 62.388970 133.657493 274.572295
2026-01-18 0.718494 2.983090 9.403201 26.137056 64.203472 140.006253 292.001788
2026-01-25 0.620125 2.737205 8.991292 25.793707 64.918421 144.248147 305.685966
2026-02-01 0.528301 2.486396 8.522925 25.252779 65.144684 147.520621 317.671925